Category: Analysis
A Prisoner Swap With Cuba
| November 3, 2014 | 8:15 pm | Analysis, Cuban Five, International, National | Comments closed
 
By THE EDITORIAL BOARD
 
NOV. 2, 2014
 
Nearly five years ago, authorities in Cuba arrested an American government subcontractor, Alan Gross, who was working on a secretive program to expand Internet access on the island. At a time when a growing number of officials in Washington and Havana are eager to start normalizing relations, Mr. Gross’s continued imprisonment has become the chief obstacle to a diplomatic breakthrough.
 
There is only one plausible way to remove Mr. Gross from an already complicated equation. The Obama administration should swap him for three convicted Cuban spies who have served more than 16 years in federal prison.
 
Fidel Castro may no longer be president, but his influence endures. His portrait was displayed at a march in Havana last month.
 
Officials at the White House are understandably anxious about the political fallout of a deal with Havana, given the criticism they faced in May after five Taliban prisoners were exchanged for an American soldier kidnapped in Afghanistan. The American government, sensibly, is averse to negotiating with terrorists or governments that hold United States citizens for ransom or political leverage. But in exceptional circumstances, it makes sense to do so. The Alan Gross case meets that criteria.
 
Under the direction of Development Alternatives Inc., which had a contract with the United States Agency for International Development, Mr. Gross traveled to Havana five times in 2009, posing as a tourist, to smuggle communications equipment as part of an effort to provide more Cubans with Internet access. The Cuban government, which has long protested Washington’s covert pro-democracy initiatives on the island, tried and convicted Mr. Gross in 2011, sentencing him to 15 years in prison for acts against the integrity of the state.
 
Early on in Mr. Gross’s detention, Cuban officials suggested they might be willing to free him if Washington put an end to initiatives designed to overthrow the Cuban government. After those talks sputtered, the Cuban position hardened and it has become clear to American officials that the only realistic deal to get Mr. Gross back would involve releasing three Cuban spies convicted of federal crimes in Miami in 2001.
 
In order to swap prisoners, President Obama would need to commute the men’s sentences. Doing so would be justified considering the lengthy time they have served, the troubling questions about the fairness of their trial, and the potential diplomatic payoff in clearing the way toward a new bilateral relationship.
 
The spy who matters the most to the Cuban government, Gerardo Hernández, is serving two life sentences. Mr. Hernández, the leader of the so-called Wasp Network, which infiltrated Cuban exile groups in South Florida in the 1990s, was convicted of conspiracy to commit murder. Prosecutors accused him of conspiring with authorities in Havana to shoot down civilian planes operated by a Cuban exile group that dropped leaflets over the island urging Cubans to rise up against their government. His four co-defendants, two of whom have been released and returned home, were convicted of nonviolent crimes. The two who remain imprisoned are due for release relatively soon.
 
A three-judge panel on the United States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit overturned the convictions in August 2005, ruling that a “perfect storm” of factors deprived the five defendants of a fair trial. The judges found that widespread hostility toward the Cuban government in Miami and pretrial publicity that vilified the spies made it impossible to impanel an impartial jury. The full court later reversed the panel’s finding, reinstating the verdict. But the judges raised other concerns about the case that led to a reduction of three of the sentences.
 
One of the judges, Phyllis Kravitch, wrote a dissenting opinion arguing that Mr. Hernández’s murder-conspiracy conviction was unfounded. Prosecutors, she argued, failed to establish that Mr. Hernández, who provided Havana with information about the flights, had entered into an agreement to shoot down the planes in international, as opposed to Cuban, airspace. Downing the planes over Cuban airspace, which the exiles had penetrated before, would not constitute murder under American law.
 
Bringing Mr. Hernández home has become a paramount priority for Cuba’s president, Raúl Castro. Cuban officials have hailed the men as heroes and portrayed their trial as a travesty. Independent entities, including a United Nations panel that examines cases of arbitrary detentions and Amnesty International, have raised concerns about the fairness of the proceedings. The widespread view in Cuba that the spies are victims has, unfortunately, emboldened Cuba to use Mr. Gross as a pawn.
 
For years, officials in Washington have said that they would not trade the Cuban spies for Mr. Gross, arguing that a trade would create a false “equivalency.”
 
But a prisoner exchange could pave the way toward re-establishing formal diplomatic ties, positioning the United States to encourage positive change in Cuba through expanded trade, travel opportunities and greater contact between Americans and Cubans. Failing to act would maintain a 50-year cycle of mistrust and acts of sabotage by both sides.
 
Beyond the strategic merits of a swap, the administration has a duty to do more to get Mr. Gross home. His arrest was the result of a reckless strategy in which U.S.A.I.D. has deployed private contractors to perform stealthy missions in a police state vehemently opposed to Washington’s pro-democracy crusade.
 
While in prison, Mr. Gross has lost more than 100 pounds. He is losing vision in his right eye. His hips are failing. This June, Mr. Gross’s elderly mother died. After he turned 65 in May, Mr. Gross told his loved ones that this year would be his last in captivity, warning that he intends to kill himself if he is not released soon. His relatives and supporters regard that as a serious threat from a desperate, broken man.
 
If Alan Gross died in Cuban custody, the prospect of establishing a healthier relationship with Cuba would be set back for years. This is an entirely avoidable scenario, as Mr. Obama can easily grasp, but time is of the essence.
Abbott increases his racist credentials
| November 2, 2014 | 9:15 pm | Action, Analysis, Immigrants' Rights, Local/State | Comments closed

By James Thompson

 

According to a Houston Chronicle article http://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/article/Abbott-photographed-with-militia-leader-5862450.php , the Republican candidate for Governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, was caught in a photograph consorting with supporter J.K. Massey in Brownsville. Massey is a convicted felon and was arrested on federal firearms charges four days after the photo with Abbott was taken . According to the Chronicle, Massey had an arsenal similar to that of Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh.

 

Many Texans are demanding that Abbott, as Texas Attorney General, denounce Massey for his terroristic activities as a militia leader. Apparently, Abbott’s non-response to these demands indicate his tacit support for right-wing terroristic lunatics. It is already well-documented that Abbott has been the beneficiary of fundraisers staged by Ted Nugent who has gone on record advocating that people should be shot as they come across the Texas-Mexico border. Abbott has failed to renounce Ted Nugent’s activities and hate speech to date.

 

Does anyone besides me see a pattern here? How do Texans think that relations between Texas and Mexico will be affected if Abbott is elected governor? Does anyone think that elevating a man who has consorted with open racists to Governor might complicate trade relations with Mexico and result in a reduction of commerce? Does anyone think that if Abbott is elected, Texas’ public image will be enhanced?

 

Bernie Sanders and Sept-Oct Polls on the DP Presidential nomination
| November 2, 2014 | 6:20 pm | Analysis, National | Comments closed
By A. Shaw
An outfit called Polling Report.com collects polling results on a number of electoral races, including the race for the Democratic Party (DP) presidential nomination.
As of late Oct. 2014, Polling Report.com has collected thirteen polling results from various media outlets on the DP presidential nomination race. In almost all of the results, Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner, Vice Pres. Joe Biden is usually second, and US Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D.-MA) often comes in as number three. There is no consistency at all in the fourth to tenth positions, indicating that opinions of the liberal sector of the electorate on possible candidates is fluid.
One of the polls, the McClatchy-Marist poll, reflects candidate rankings for Sept. 24th to 29th this year:
                                  %
Hillary Clinton           64
Joe Biden                    15
Elizabeth Warren       8
Bernie Sanders           4
Martin O’Malley         2
Jim Webb                    1
Unsure                         6
With something like a 50-point lead over all of her opponents in the McClatchy-Marist poll, Hillary Clinton seems to be a runaway winner of the DP nomination race, two years before election day.
But Clinton only appears to be winning because her support is only broad, but not deep. Indeed, her support is very shallow. Liberals don’t trust her, independents support her as long as she looks like a winner, and reactionaries openly detest her.
The huge lead of Hillary Clinton perhaps discourages Elizabeth Warren ranked No. 3 in McClatchy-Marist poll.
US Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) gave an interview to People magazine  in late October 2014 and was asked if she planned to run for president. Her answer showed quite a bit of discouragement.
“I don’t think so,” Warren told PEOPLE in an interview. “If there’s any lesson I’ve learned in the last five years, it’s don’t be so sure about what lies ahead. There are amazing doors that could open. Right now,” She said “I’m focused on figuring out what else I can do from this spot in the U.S. Senate.”
When Sen. Warren says “There are amazing doors that could open” for her, she suggests Hillary Clinton has offered Warren something that is “amazing.”
Clinton has also offered to open doors for Bernie Sanders, but he is not “amazed” or even interested.
Vice Pres. Joe Biden is not a serious candidate. Warren and Bernie Sanders argue that they are 50-points behind Clinton because they don’t have national name recognition. But Biden has enjoyed national name recognition for decades and he still trails Clinton by almost 50-points. Biden trails by almost 50 points because the national electorate knows what he is. Warren and Sanders trail by 50 points because the national electorate hasn’t had a chance to get to know them, unlike Biden.
US Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), a pit bull of a campaigner, is set to move up in the ranking for the DP presidential nomination, especially if Sen. Warren drops out.
Sander’s strategy is to outflank Clinton on the Left, just as Obama outflanked her in 2008. Clinton loves to reach out and embrace reactionaries. She campaigns for the conservative vote much more than her husband who also had reactionary tendencies. This explains why her support from the liberal sector of the national electorate is more shallow than her husband’s support. But Clinton isn’t worried, at the moment, about Bernie Sanders because she says Sanders’ support is neither broad nor deep.
She hasn’t changed since she lost the DP nomination in 2008.
Texas Republicans fight for the right to hate
| October 21, 2014 | 9:24 pm | Action, Analysis, Immigrants' Rights, Local/State | Comments closed

By James Thompson

 

Led by lame-duck Texas Governor and buffoon-in-chief Rick Perry, the Republican clowns are running amok in their effort to win the hearts and minds (and campaign contributions) of the 1% while alienating the rest of us. The Republican candidate for Texas Governor is Greg Abbott. It is hard to imagine a sector of the population besides the wealthiest of the wealthy that he has not attacked viciously. Most of his campaign contributors are listed among Forbes magazine’s list of billionaires.

 

Abbott and the rest of the Texas Republican gang have railed against immigrants. Nut case rocker Ted Nugent indicated in one interview that he favored shooting people as they crossed the US border. Ted Nugent is a major fundraiser for Greg Abbott. Abbott has not yet repudiated his ugly, vile hateful rhetoric. Nut case candidate for Lt. Gov., Dan Patrick, has made his major campaign theme “securing the Texas border.” The ugliest of the ugly Republicans have even alleged that immigrants “could” bring the Ebola virus to Texas. The word “could” is fairly loose and, of course, a similar case could be made that billionaires “could” bring the Ebola virus to Texas. Interestingly, Texas Republicans don’t go there. Instead, they fight to make Texas safe for hysteria.

 

Ted Nugent also has a long history of hatred towards women. Abbott has fought hard to roll back the clock on women’s reproductive rights.

 

Ted Nugent once referred to our current president as a “subhuman mongrel” and was called out because this is a phrase that was frequently used by the Nazis to characterize sectors of the population they persecuted. Most people understand that this is not a coincidence that Nugent used this phrase.

 

According to the Wendy Davis (Democratic party candidate for Governor of Texas) campaign, Mr. Abbott has distinguished himself in the field of hypocrisy by seeking all possible benefits of his disabled status while fighting hard to deny any benefits for other people who are disabled.

 

Mr. Abbott has fought hard for a Texas Voter ID law which will make it more difficult for working people, African-Americans, Latinos, and the aged to cast a ballot.

 

Texas Republicans have opposed healthcare for the poor and current Gov. Rick Perry has waived off federal Medicaid money.

 

Gov. Perry has distinguished himself in the past by making veiled references to Texas seceding from the union. Most people understand that these references relate to dreams of restoring the Confederacy and the right to own slaves.

 

So, if Texans want their state government to be run by racist, sexist, bigoted nuts who will fight for liberty and justice for the 1%, they will vote Republican. If not, they will vote for candidates from other parties.

Investigation Finds Former Ukraine President Not Responsible For Sniper Attack on Protestors
| October 19, 2014 | 2:33 pm | Analysis, International, National | Comments closed

5 things about Ebola you should know
| October 15, 2014 | 10:03 pm | Action, Analysis, International | Comments closed

Published time: October 15, 2014 18:40 Via http://rt.com/news/196268-five-things-know-ebola/ The UN’s health watchdog, the WHO, says there are 60 days left to contain the Ebola outbreak, which has already claimed almost 5,000 lives. This is what you need to know about the killer virus.

  1. It has been here for decades

The virus lives naturally in animals, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa. The first two recorded outbreak were in 1976. The Ebola virus (EBOV) is one of five members of the Ebolavirus genus, four of which cause lethal hemorrhagic fever. It was previously called Zaire virus, after the country that is now called the Democratic Republic of Congo. There are currently two separate Ebola outbreaks underway. In addition to the one in Western Africa, which has already spread to the US and Europe, there is another one in the Congo. Bats are the natural reservoir of the virus, because they can carry it without getting ill. Apes can suffer from it too. Humans may get infected by eating bushmeat or through feces, after which the virus can spread from human to human via blood, saliva and other fluids.

  1. There is no cure

Ebola’s high mortality rate and gruesome symptoms have given it the air of something out of a horror movie. But statistically speaking, the virus was a minor threat, with outbreaks quickly fading out claiming a few hundred lives at most. So it’s not surprising that institutions researching infectious diseases never invested many resources into finding a cure, preferring to spend money on more wide-spread (and, cynically speaking, more profit-generating) threats. The exception to that are bioweapons specialists, who concluded that the virus that could not go airborne and is an ineffective means to attack the enemy (or serve as a weapon for terrorists, for that matter). So when the current outbreak started beating records – in fact killing more people than all previous outbreaks combined – and spreading into cities, nobody had a working treatment at hand. A handful of experimental vaccines are in the pipeline, including three developed in Russia. But they are far from being mass produced, while the virus is spreading.

  1. No adequate response

The countries affected by the current outbreak are poor, their healthcare systems are rudimentary, and the tradition-dictated hygiene habits of many of its citizens are not suitable for stopping the infection. Where Western countries can rally experts in biohazard suits, quarantine every person a suspected carrier had contact with and run blood tests, countries like Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia have neither the resources nor experience to take such measures. And the problems only start with healthcare: the epidemic spreads panic, fear and violence, causing deterioration in whatever social order is in place. The assistance from international organizations helps a lot, but it’s not a magic wand that can stop the outbreak with a deft wave. Organizations like the WHO have their difficulties too. For instance, the UN’s health body had its budget cut, leaving it with less than $4 billion to spend in 2013-2014. In contrast, the budget of the US agency tackling infections, the CDC, was about $6 billion in 2013. Just like scientists researching treatments, doctors preventing them in the field have to prioritize. Ebola was not a priority, and the outbreak went under the radar for an estimated three months, before it was declared as such by Doctors Without Borders. By that time it was already in Guinea’s capital Conakry, a city of 2 million people.

  1. The West is not prepared

Or at least not as well prepared as it should be! Even if Ebola manages to get into developed nations with some travelers slipping through airport cordons, the spread of the virus would not be large. It takes between four to 21 days for an infected person to become contagious, which means once a case is discovered, everyone who had contact with the person can be quarantined and tested before they can spread the disease. But being among the few unlucky victims is little consolation for those who do get infected. And the fact that in the US and Spain, health workers who provided care to known Ebola sufferers got infected, despite knowing what they were dealing with, is less than reassuring. In both countries there is criticism over how the treatment of Ebola patients is conducted and how reports of new suspected cases have been responded to.

  1. Epidemic cost: Tens of billions of dollars

Battling the outbreak is difficult and costly. The WHO estimates that by November there could be 10,000 new cases of the disease each week in two months, unless it’s taken under control. This would require having 70 percent of infected people in a care facility and 70 percent of burials done without further infections. Otherwise the breakout would reach a stage, for which there is no plan. The World Bank says in the worst case scenario the economic damage from the epidemic could reach $33 billion. The US Department of Defense said it needs over $1 billion to cover the cost of the effort to fight the disease in Africa. It may send as many as 3,000 soldiers to the epidemic zone, with an estimated cost of $750 million over a six-month period. Other states, world bodies and charities have promised to chip in to stem the tide of the developing outbreak and provide aid to the most afflicted West African nations. In September, the European Union pledged 150 million euros to fight the virus in West Africa. The World Bank Group has pledged US $230 million in emergency funding to help Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone contain the spread of Ebola infections. Last month the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation released $50 million to the UN and other international aid agencies working to contain the epidemic. The International Committee of the Red Cross, in tandem with the Red Cross and Red Crescent societies, has set aside 34.7 million Swiss francs to tackle the epidemic as well. The price tag of developing and distributing drugs, however, is less than one would expect. Ripley Ballou, who heads the Ebola vaccine program for GSK, estimated the company could make 100,000 to 500,000 doses for just $25 million. The problem: it would take around 9 months. In any such epidemic, however, the real cost comes not from the cure, but treating the consequences of human fear, WHO director general Margaret Chan said. According to Chan, 90 percent of the economic costs incurred from any such outbreak “come from irrational and disorganized efforts of the public to avoid infection.”

Bernie Sanders is the candidate for the US people
| October 9, 2014 | 9:09 pm | Analysis, National | 2 Comments
By A. Shaw
US Senator Bernie Sanders (D. Ver.) can win the DP presidential nomination and the subsequent general election between DP and GOP candidates.
In the race for the DP nomination, Hillary Clinton is too  unprincipled  in liberal ideology and in liberal morality.
In the general election, Bernie Sanders can’t lose, given the abject slime that the GOP will nominate..
Without huge mistakes, Sen. Sanders will win the DP nomination and the general election.